1/30/2005

A lot to like, miles to go before they sleep

There was a lot to like about today's election in Iraq. The images of legions of Iraqis lining up to vote in the face of sucide bombers was certainly inspiring. That is the call of freedom and self determination, no doubt about it.

It would be a good idea to but the bubbly on hold, however. Let's do ourselves and America a favor, shall we? Let's not have an orgy of self-congratulation. Let's not have a "Mission Accomplished" moment. Let's have a moment of clarity.

First of all, let's give credit where credit is due. Grand Ayatollah Sistani deserves enormous praise for mobilizing popular support in favor of elections. He did so in defiance of the Bush Adminsistration orginal plans to plant Achmed Chalabai as puppet in chief. Later, Sistani sent thousands of protesters to the streets last year after Bush canceled the impromptu elections that were springing up. Both Juan Coleand Swopa over at Needlenose have excellent posts on this topic.

As usual, Bush was dragged kicking and screaming into doing the right thing (think 9.11 commission) and now will make political hay over the outcome.

The other fact that should not be drowned out in an excess of boosterism, is that while overall turnout was impressive, it was primarily Shiites and Kurds. The Sunnis appeared in much lesser numbers. It is to be hoped that they will reappear in peace as the newly elected government shapes itself. But the insurgency is rooted with the Sunnis. It is far too early to tell whether or not the election inflamed tensions or eased them. We do not know if this was the first step towards civil war or the first step towards a peacful, free and democratic Iraq. Let us hope for the latter.

All in all, I think it's a day to praise the Iraqi people, who despite being pounded to death by the hammer of the occupation and the anvil of the insurgency, bravely stood up and were counted.

Christopher Albritton's summary on Back to Iraq seems apropos:

Which is why, several of us journalists here are going to call this elections for the Iraqis. My friend Mitch and I were discussing this and regardless of who wins in the polls, the Iraqis won here and proved themselves—for a day, at least—stronger than the insurgency. And that's a very big symbolic victory. A huge one, in fact, and Iraqis should take great pride in themselves. When they had the opportunity, they stood up and were counted. The real losers were the Sunnis who didn't participate. They missed a golden opportunity to take part in a process that, while flawed, were the only game in town. I don't know what's going to happen next, and a civil war may still erupt, but if it does, the elected government—one elected by Shi'a and Kurds, for the most part—will have the moral high ground in it.

8 Comments:

At 8:22 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Dykstra, the Iraqi's are the winners today!!! You are such a fucktard, Your negativism is so emotionally draining at this point. I hope you don't have kids that see you on a daily basis.

 
At 8:58 AM, Blogger Chris Dykstra said...

Decaf -

My impression is not that Iraq is overun with terrorists. Where did you get that? My impression is that the election won't make much difference to the insurgency. My impression is that the insurgency is way stronger than the US Military publicly admits and way weaker than than the insurgency admits.

The Sunnis are a minority, but they are a really significant minority. I don't have an opionion on whether or not they, the Kurds or anyone else will start a civil war. I just don't think it's possible to tell right now.

Anonymous - As a matter of fact, I do have kids. And they read this blog. That's why I don't swear, or call people names, or say cruel, vicious things. I especially don't do the above anonymously - you coward.

If you can do so sanely, why don't point out to me where I was negative about the Iraqi people, where I didn't clearly state that the victory was theirs?

 
At 10:16 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

My God Dykstra, I can actually see your squirming discomfort, I can really feel your pain.

Here's a tip. Denial is your enemy; desperately casting about for ridiculous explainations for yesterday's historic events isn't going to make the sting go away any faster.

Admitting you were wrong is like removing a bandage, the faster you do it the less it will hurt.

I strongly suggest you consider taking care of that ASAP, because if you are still nursing these delusions when we grab al zarqawi and his band of brothers, the President's approval ratings are going to go through the roof and it's going to be very, very painful for you.

Every one of those millions of blue stained fingers got poked into the terrorists eyes this weekend, but there is no need for you to put your head in the way too.

As a matter of fact, why not just add your voice to millions of Iraqi's and say it loud, say it proud:

Thank God for America!

 
At 12:06 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Yesterday's "historic event" should be placed squarely in context with this administration's previous "historic" achievements. We only need to look at Afghanistan to see what Bush's cut and run policies do to a war-torn nation. Afghanistan had mostly safe, somewhat popular elections (just like Iraq) and the media trumpeted America's role in that historic event too. Now, since we've all but abandoned it, look at Afghanistan: the democratically elected leadership has no real authority; warlords rule through violence and intimidation; the poppy trade is stronger than it's been in decades; and the Taliban and Al Qeada are back as if they never left.

So while I'm happy that Iraq's elections were held with relatively little violence and relatively high turnout (among the Shi’a and Kurds), experience has taught me to lower my expectations when Bush is involved. Only time will tell how history will judge yesterday’s events.

-J

 
At 1:01 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

"look at Afghanistan: the democratically elected leadership has no real authority; warlords rule through violence and intimidation; the poppy trade is stronger than it's been in decades; and the Taliban and Al Qeada are back as if they never left."


Have i been living under a rock? When did all this happen in Afganistan? Oh i know, It's the right wing media not reporting all this. I hope the people who visit this site don't believe everything they read.

 
At 2:15 PM, Blogger ryan said...

As far as the poppy trade goes, even Hamid Karzai has acknowledged this as a problem. (Fox News article) Depending on the source, it's been estimated that Afghanistan supplied somewhere between 80-90% of the world's opium supply last year. That being said, what I've read as of late is that Afghanistan is cracking down on opium production.

 
At 5:57 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Great day for Iraq and The Liberation coalition.

Credit where credit is due? Didn't see you mention Bush and other coalition leaders but I guess I would not expect it from such liberal rag-blog. You would have preferred a genocidal bloody Sunday just so you could do more Bush bashing but you got your shots in anyway

Only a simpleton would think Bush was dragged into helping Iraqis establish a cohesive, election process to empower Iraqi's into Democracy.

Hopefully Ted Kennedy & the like will now just shut up.

By the way they have been pounded to death by insurgents, terrorists and anarchists. To imply they have been pounded to death by ocupation insults everyone involved in this countries liberation, especially the Iraqi people.

The Doctor

 
At 9:25 PM, Blogger ryan said...

Easy Doctor, I think you've been prescribing yourself a few too many mind-polluting drugs. Relax, drink a soda or something.

 

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